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This is why insurance is so costly:

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Old 07-16-2006, 2:45 PM
  #1
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This is why insurance is so costly:

Progressive Study

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Old 07-16-2006, 3:07 PM
  #2
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Re: This is why insurance is so costly:

Now, since virtually all insurance studies are flawed, I will wager that this one is, too. I'll bet there is no accounting for the number of bikes sold or for the number of miles driven.

These bikes make both least likely lists.
Okay - Everybody, run out and buy one of the following:
1. Suzuki Savage
2. BMW R1200C
3. Honda Rebel Series

Then my rates will go done on my fireblade. Whoo-hoo.
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Old 07-16-2006, 3:54 PM
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Just repeating what ever I hear...
 
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Re: This is why insurance is so costly:

Quote:
Originally Posted by clutchslip View Post
Now, since virtually all insurance studies are flawed,


Never heard that before. What makes insurance stuies flawed any more than some other type?
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Old 07-16-2006, 4:18 PM
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Re: This is why insurance is so costly:

So they have a study to make you feel like it's okay to pay outrageous premiums for your bike. And because insurance companies are the only companies that are corrupt in this world.... duh!

I agree clutch, they probably are flawed. If they look at the raw numbers of crashes, i.e. 200 CBR's totaled versus 1 Suzuki Savage totaled, then yes, there are obviously more CBR's that are crashed, but if they look at percentages, i.e. 200 CBR's crashed/3500 sold = 5.7% crashed versus 1 Savage Crashed/ 10 sold = 10% crashed. Then CBR's are nearly 5% safer than a Savage.

Statistics can be played with so much, it is actually pretty scary!

Now if only I could make up some stats showing how my wife spends more money on make-up in a year than I would on a track bike....

Last edited by ihatecrashing : 07-16-2006 at 4:20 PM. Reason: Read Heavy's comment closer...
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Old 07-16-2006, 6:25 PM
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Re: This is why insurance is so costly:

This is why I couldn't believe all the posts about "superbike" on speed stating that the show will cause ins imcrease. Insurance co.'s answer to STOCK HOLDERS, That's all they care about, look @ their 1/4 profit's they're right in line W/banks EVEN when they had RECORD payouts back in the 1 year of Midwestern Floods, west coast earthquakes & fires. They still had record profits.It's a fact. Ins are in business to MAKE $$$ & that's all. It's a nasty evil we have to have My nothing more
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Old 07-16-2006, 6:34 PM
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Re: This is why insurance is so costly:

Suzuks are #1 ther you go Hammer....Squids bike of choice..
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Old 07-16-2006, 7:45 PM
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Re: This is why insurance is so costly:

Sweet!!!! I crashed the #1 bike that's least likely to crash!!!
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Old 07-16-2006, 8:45 PM
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Re: This is why insurance is so costly:

Quote:
Originally Posted by SpikedLemon View Post
Sweet!!!! I crashed the #1 bike that's least likely to crash!!!
How did you ever manage that?!? According to stats, maybe you should buy a lottery ticket, and when you win, split the winnings with me for suggesting the idea...
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Old 07-16-2006, 9:19 PM
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Re: This is why insurance is so costly:

Quote:
Originally Posted by kawboy69 View Post
Suzuks are #1 ther you go Hammer....Squids bike of choice..
It may have nothing to do with "squids" since it is also the #1 bike sold. (See ihatecrashing's example of what I am talking about.)
Remember for years they told us "fifty-five saves lives", until a real study was done that proved that was bull-rear.

Quote:
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Sweet!!!! I crashed the #1 bike that's least likely to crash!!!
Talent baby.
I think I have some of those tendencies, too.
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Old 07-17-2006, 2:19 AM
  #10
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Re: This is why insurance is so costly:

Progressive can bite me.


And statistic's are "Bullshit":

Penn & Teller: Bullshit!: Numbers - TV.com
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Old 07-17-2006, 2:22 AM
  #11
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Re: This is why insurance is so costly:

Quote:
Originally Posted by Scout View Post
Progressive can bite me.


And statistic's are "Bullshit":

Penn & Teller: Bullshit!: Numbers - TV.com
this was a great episode
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Old 07-17-2006, 1:03 PM
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Re: This is why insurance is so costly:

Quote:
Originally Posted by ihatecrashing View Post
Statistics can be played with so much, it is actually pretty scary!
No. Statistics are simply numbers that record what happened. The problem is not with statistics; it is with their misinterpretation by the ignorant masses, and with their misapplication by dishonest people with ulterior motives. (I don't think either applies to Progressive in this case.)

The Progressive article cited above says it was a "study of claims data on more than two million motorcycles insured over the past three years by The Progressive Group." This means that, of the group of motorcyclists who chose to use Progressive insurance in the past 3 years, the bikes with the highest number of (crashes/thefts) were..."

If that group of motorcyclists accurately represents all motorcyclists, then you can generalize this to all motorcyclists. If all types of bikes rode the same number of miles (on average), then you could conclude something about the per-mile probability of crashing. If, ... (whatever)

The good news in this study is that, of the 5 most often crashed bikes, CBR's crashed the least, and they were only stolen third-most often, and therefore for any given person, they will probably cost less to insure at Progressive than (for example) a GSX-R, which is #1 in crashing and theft.
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Old 07-17-2006, 1:14 PM
  #13
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Re: This is why insurance is so costly:

I could have guessed that same information without spending the money on a study.
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Old 07-17-2006, 9:34 PM
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Re: This is why insurance is so costly:

rb1, I stand corrected.... I guess I should have said,"The numbers put into statistical equations can be adjusted and changed to affect the result in such a way to favor one side or the other."

Is that better?

I hated Stats class.
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Old 07-17-2006, 11:56 PM
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Re: This is why insurance is so costly:

Ding, ding, ding we have a winner here folks....

If you choose a motorcycle that’s involved in more crashes or is stolen more often you’ll most likely pay more for insurance.

I wanna meet the genius that came up with that statement. I mean is revelations plain and simple.
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Old 07-19-2006, 1:32 PM
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Re: This is why insurance is so costly:

On note that irks me is that they lump entire series of bikes into one category. The GSXR, for example, encompases 600, 750, 1000, 1100 versions and has been around for at least 10 years. The Suzuki 650Savage is a single bike that's been around ~6 years and that's it.

This goes beyond the whole: "The Suzuki Savage sold poorly" argument.
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Old 07-19-2006, 1:48 PM
  #17
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Re: This is why insurance is so costly:

Quote:
Originally Posted by SpikedLemon View Post
On note that irks me is that they lump entire series of bikes into one category. The GSXR, for example, encompases 600, 750, 1000, 1100 versions and has been around for at least 10 years. The Suzuki 650Savage is a single bike that's been around ~6 years and that's it.

This goes beyond the whole: "The Suzuki Savage sold poorly" argument.
They also do not include the Number of each type of Bike insured. They really should use a #/1000 that have been stolen or totaled. Like you have said if they insure 3000 GSXRs and only 1000 CBRs then of course more GSXRs are going to be stolen and crashed.

These studies are so self serving
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Old 07-19-2006, 3:32 PM
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Re: This is why insurance is so costly:

I think that is is crazy to lump all honda sport bikes together. They generalize by saying "CBR series". It doesn't seem like they go to any length to look into the issue. It looks like they are looking for the most general rationalie for raising revenue. They don't make a distinction between 600,900,etc....

The CBR model prefix seems to be an insurance stigma associated with Honda GP bikes. I think Honda should drop the CBR to use something new.
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Old 07-19-2006, 3:42 PM
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Re: This is why insurance is so costly:

Quote:
Originally Posted by Purpdust View Post
They really should use a #/1000 that have been stolen or totaled. Like you have said if they insure 3000 GSXRs and only 1000 CBRs then of course more GSXRs are going to be stolen and crashed.
The article does not say anything about percentages of each bike. That does NOT mean they don't know the percentages, and that does not mean that the study referred to doesn't take percentages into account. However, if they did not do so, then the study is flawed.

Based on the words that appear on Progressive's web site, you can not draw any conclusions, one way or another.

If you want to know, rather than simply making up excuses to disregard what you've read, get a copy of the original study and read it.

Quote:
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These studies are so self serving
Who is being served what?
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Old 07-19-2006, 4:21 PM
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Re: This is why insurance is so costly:

Quote:
Originally Posted by rb1 View Post
Who is being served what?
To me the study serves the insurance company (Progressive) by lumping all sportbike riders in the same basket. We are not all the same and we should not have to prove ourselves to them for 10 years before you get a decent rate.

I for one use State Farm, first they are friendly, easy to deal with and they do not classify thier policies by Sportbike, Cruiser, Tour. They only care about Value, Year, Displacement and Turbo.
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Old 07-19-2006, 10:12 PM
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Re: This is why insurance is so costly:

Hey guys, I think rb1 works for progressive... (he seems to be a little sensitive about the subject)
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Old 07-20-2006, 1:51 AM
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Re: This is why insurance is so costly:

Hmmm.....wonder why the GSXR is top on the list??? Could it be that all the squids and stunners ride them????
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Old 07-20-2006, 7:34 AM
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Re: This is why insurance is so costly:

This is not an actuarial study about premium rates, it is a press release to gain publicity. The statistics are presented in a way a journalist will find interesting, not in a way a motorcyclist will find useful.

If you want to know how an insurance company rates you and your bike on risk, ask them to quote you a premium. There's no other way, because they won't give you (or their competitors) access to their proprietary database or how they analyse it, because that's a key competitive issue for them.

I've done this stuff as an actuarial student. You have to ask the questions in the right way:

What would be the risk of a claim (that's all they are interested in, though they'll split it by fire, theft, own damage and third party claims) and what would be the size of the claim for a person of this age, sex and type of motorcycle in this geographic region (post code in the UK)? Some will split per mile, or per mileage exposure per annum (risk period).

Biggest risk factors are age and region, then bike type.
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Old 07-21-2006, 12:19 AM
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Re: This is why insurance is so costly:

Bravo Fogey!!!
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Old 08-02-2006, 10:44 AM
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Re: This is why insurance is so costly:

Okay well first off you have progressive insurance phucking sucks. For one there probably the most expensive insurance company in the U.S. Secondly, if you have to file a claim it takes like 2 months for them to get off there ass and get your bike fixed.

Next Part.... You have a bracket of nice sport bikes that a lot of guys and girls like to have because of style and fun. So of course there going to be stolen over some hunk of **** honda rebel or savage, because frankly who the phuck wants them? Also the fact that if you go into any dealership what do you see more of? I believe you see about 2 to 3 GSX-R 600's, 750's, 1000's, Honda 600rr's, 1000rr's, and so on. Now look all the way in the back to the bike that