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post #1 of 22 Old 10-26-2006, 11:26 AM Thread Starter
 
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Who are my constituents?

I just found a very interesting piece of data (on Snopes) from the 04 election, regarding murder rate in the counties won by each candidate:

Gore: 6.5%
Bush: 4.1%

Pretty dramatic difference...why?



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post #2 of 22 Old 10-26-2006, 11:53 AM
 
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Re: Who are my constituents?

I guess would be that Urban Voters are usually more open for Change (like Gay Rights, Abortion and less religious) these voters would most likely vote for Gore. The Rural Voters would be more conservative and tend to vote for Bush . Because urban areas have higher murder rates than rural then yes Gore's counties would have higher murder rates
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post #3 of 22 Old 10-26-2006, 11:56 AM Thread Starter
 
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Re: Who are my constituents?

Right.

But do people in the areas with higher murder rates want things changed because they're bad, or are things bad because of the "Democrat" mentality of people in those areas?

Chicken or egg?



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post #4 of 22 Old 10-26-2006, 12:27 PM
 
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Re: Who are my constituents?

If you assume that those that are on the fringe in the rural areas leave for the Urban because they are shoned, and usually have to live in the less desirable areas because of the cost. Then it woudl not be Democratic policy that creates the unbalance.

An interesting stat would be, The Duration of Residency in the counties. If you found that new residents (both from foriegn and domestic sources) typically vote for the D and live in Urban areas. Established residents vote R and live in Rural areas. You could make further conclutions that people move around are more open minded and vote Democrat but also are more likely to kill someone.



An other question that shold be answered is. What is the ratio of murders between those that voted D or R? and Who killed them?

Maybe just maybe the Rs are trying to kill all the Ds in their home riding
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post #5 of 22 Old 10-26-2006, 8:24 PM
 
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Re: Who are my constituents?

Simple, the urban rats vote democratic so they can continue to live off the government and get paid to pump out unwanted children. Oh crap, you baited me into posting in the politics forum...
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post #6 of 22 Old 10-26-2006, 8:25 PM Thread Starter
 
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Re: Who are my constituents?

Holy ****, hey man, dial my number, you must not be well.

First a lapse in paranoia, now this?



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post #7 of 22 Old 10-26-2006, 8:45 PM
 
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Re: Who are my constituents?

Quote:
Originally Posted by luvtolean View Post
I just found a very interesting piece of data (on Snopes) from the 04 election, regarding murder rate in the counties won by each candidate:

Gore: 6.5%
Bush: 4.1%

Pretty dramatic difference...why?
What makes 2.4% a dramatic difference?

Can you post the link to the data? I usually shun statistics since I took two statistics classes in college (one purely mathematical, one for my psych classes). I haven't seen a percentage I believe in since then.

And yes, I do know that two stats classes don't make me an expert.
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post #8 of 22 Old 10-26-2006, 8:45 PM
 
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Re: Who are my constituents?

Probably need a bucket here but working with what I got available.
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post #9 of 22 Old 10-26-2006, 8:52 PM Thread Starter
 
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Re: Who are my constituents?

Quote:
Originally Posted by seamus View Post
What makes 2.4% a dramatic difference?

Can you post the link to the data? I usually shun statistics since I took two statistics classes in college (one purely mathematical, one for my psych classes). I haven't seen a percentage I believe in since then.

And yes, I do know that two stats classes don't make me an expert.
Why is that dramatic? That's ~50% more in Kerry's counties. That is huge.

It's from snopes, I looked up an article someone posted (on a different forum) and parts of that were bogus...but these stats came from the analysis at the bottom.

Urban Legends Reference Pages: Politics (The Fall of the Athenian Republic)



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post #10 of 22 Old 10-26-2006, 8:53 PM
 
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Re: Who are my constituents?

OK, so if convicted murderers can't vote, that means that the counties in which Gore won included proportionally fewer felons.. right?




Three kinds of falsehoods:
Lies,
Damnable Lies, &
Statistics.
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post #11 of 22 Old 10-26-2006, 8:54 PM Thread Starter
 
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Re: Who are my constituents?

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Originally Posted by CBRVFR View Post
OK, so if convicted murderers can't vote, that means that the counties in which Gore won included proportionally fewer felons.. right?




Three kinds of falsehoods:
Lies,
Damnable Lies, &
Statistics.


I still think it's an interesting discussion point though.



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post #12 of 22 Old 10-27-2006, 12:03 AM
 
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Re: Who are my constituents?

I think that it really is just that more Urban areas tend to vote democratically, but also tend to have higher crime rates. When you shove people into close quarters, many of whom live at or below the poverty line, you have problems.
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post #13 of 22 Old 10-27-2006, 12:06 AM Thread Starter
 
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Re: Who are my constituents?

So why is it those people vote democrat?



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post #14 of 22 Old 10-27-2006, 12:10 AM
 
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Re: Who are my constituents?

All I can hear is the line from "Oh Brother where art thow"

Is you is, or is you aint my constituents?

I do all my own stunts.
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post #15 of 22 Old 10-27-2006, 12:11 AM Thread Starter
 
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Re: Who are my constituents?

One of my all time favorites.



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